Brazilian Senate President Pacheco: I think it is possible for the House of Representatives and the Senate to approve the financial plan this year.The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 94.7%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 5.3%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 94.7%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 4.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 73.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 22.3%.Goldman Sachs: With the strong growth of Permian crude oil output and the continuous strong performance of natural gas condensate, the shale oil output (crude oil and natural gas condensate) in 48 States in the United States will grow steadily, and the daily output is expected to increase by 600,000 barrels.
The Federal Reserve's loan balance in the discount window in the week of December 11th was $2.61 billion, compared with $2.43 billion in the previous week. The balance of bank term financing loans in the week of December 11th was 15.6 billion US dollars, compared with 17.1 billion US dollars in the previous week.Securities Times: Deepen the reform of the capital market and lay a solid foundation for the coordinated development of investment and financing. The direct statement of the central economic work conference on the capital market includes two aspects: one is to "stabilize the stock market" and the other is to "deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system". The reporter learned that the CSRC is currently studying and formulating an implementation plan to further comprehensively deepen the reform of the capital market, deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, and improve the institutional mechanisms to promote the high-quality development of listed companies and enhance the inherent stability of the market. It is reported that the CSRC will further improve the equity incentive system, focus on cultivating and expanding patient capital, comprehensively use various tools such as stocks, bonds and futures, improve the support policies for venture capital and private equity investment, guide better investment in early, small, long-term and hard technologies, help high-quality innovative enterprises to grow and develop, and provide support for China's economic transformation and upgrading and long-term development.At least 27 people were killed when the Israeli army bombed the central part of the Gaza Strip. According to a report by the Palestinian News Agency on the 12th, at least 27 people were killed, including women and children, and dozens of others were injured when the Israeli army bombed the Nuseilet refugee camp in the central part of the Gaza Strip that night.
Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.The US dollar index rose by 0.3%, the Japanese yen fell to 153, and the Swiss franc fell by over 0.9%. On Thursday (December 12), the ICE dollar index rose by 0.31% to 107.038 points, and the intraday trading range was 106.354-107.041 points. The whole day showed a volatile upward state, but the European Central Bank announced a rate cut, the US PPI data was released, and Beijing. The Bloomberg dollar index rose by 0.28%, reaching a daily high of 1288.41 points, and then fluctuated upward after reaching a daily low of 1281.12 points at 15:17. The dollar rose 0.14% against the yen to 152.67 yen, and the intraday trading range was 151.81-152.77 yen. The euro fell 0.27% to 1.0467, the pound fell 0.62% to 1.2673, and the dollar rose 0.93% to 0.8924 against the Swiss franc. Among the commodity currencies, the Australian dollar was roughly flat after falling back against the US dollar, while the New Zealand dollar fell by 0.29% and the US dollar rose by 0.44% against the Canadian dollar. The Swedish krona fell 0.38% against the US dollar, while the Norwegian krona fell 0.26% against the US dollar.Broadcom said that the market size of the company's artificial intelligence (AI) accelerator is expected to be $15 billion to $20 billion next year.